When the trading gets tough, the smart trader… usually trades less. Consider one of the most common mistakes of developing traders. (I feel completely qualified to write on any developing trading mistakes, and to call out how blisteringly stupid and destructive they are. Why? Because I made all these mistakes
Just a quick look at patterns and concepts applied in an actual trade. This was a trade that was shared with our MarketLife members in advance. Trades like this are easy, but only if you're looking in the right place at the right time. For context, trading has
In my previous post, I shared some perspectives on how I turned my lack of quantitative education into strengths. The structure that came from that process—not being afraid to get my hands dirty with the data, simulating multiple outcomes, and being willing to ask very basic questions—has served
In this post, I want to share some insights into my thought process as a trader. I will follow up with a post looking at Relative Volume. I originally defined, quantified, and coded that tool in 2009-2010, but it grew out of a foundation much deeper. My thought process might
Markets are always a mix of signal and noise — the trick is knowing when the balance shifts in your favor. This post breaks down how to spot those rare moments when an edge appears, and when to stand aside to avoid bleeding money in choppy conditions.
General Comments
Everything changes—the only constant in life and markets. When we think we have it figured out, it changes. This is true in markets, life, and everywhere else. Over the past few months, I’ve been getting a lot of solid work done on the coding front. I’ve launched
Trader Development
Here we are in the dog days of summer. For many traders, this time of the year is usually difficult. Lower trading activity, volume, and generally lower volatility conspire to keep a lid on many opportunities. This is a time of year when I get a lot of thinking done,
Word Count: 1506 Estimated Reading Time: 7-8 minutes While I’ve written extensively on trading approaches and market movements, I still get many questions like, “How do you trade?” and “What tools do you use?” In this post, I’ll share the frame work that makes it all work for
Matt asked a question that I sat on for quite a while. I wasn't sure how to write a reasonably concise answer to a good question, but I'll try today. First, the question: I see you don't believe in Fibonacci ratios, but it seems
Over the past week or so, I've written a bit about short term trading strategies on my blog, and I've also done two podcasts (here and here.) Starting tomorrow, I'm going to start a few posts that will look into the statistical behavior of
This post was originally published on See It Market as part of the Market Masters series. The original post can be found here.] I am a quantitative-discretionary trader. I have made it one of my life’s goals to understand how financial markets move, to understand how to predict those
Trading, markets, and the craft of mastery.
TL;DR: AI is transforming everything, but not in the way most people think. The real threat isn’t conscious machines—it’s the flood of low-quality, low-effort content. At MarketLife, we use AI as a tool, not a creator. I still write all long-form content myself. We use AI
What’s the right way to read chart structure? That’s the wrong question. This post explains why context and utility matter more than correctness in trading charts.
Content creation is a strange business. On one hand, we’re swamped with content. I could sit in one place for an entire day and not come close to even touching the surface of all the pieces of content on any one of my social media feeds. And, honestly, most
As we step into 2025, I want to take a moment to greet you and wish you good health, wholeness, and success in the coming year. Instead of adding to the end-of-year noise, I waited until now to share this message—along with a few reflections and nuggets that might
I received an email from a reader named Doug, about my recent blog post: “…I'm definitely a skeptic with the psychology portion of trading - but as a futures day-trader, it may be even more important for me. I'm finally at the point where I have
Every day, I provide detailed market analysis for MarketLife members, focusing on daily setups. We focus primarily on the daily timeframe, and cover markets in two tranches: US-listed futures (and currency futures), and US stocks. We focus on directional trades that are drawn from my work, which you can find
In my previous blog post, I explored how our desires shape trading outcomes—everyone gets what they want from the market. The problem is that wants are not simple—on some level, some people want to lose. Some people want escape; they want to feel that they are superior when
Financial markets are vast, and the ways we can interact with them are almost limitless. However, a few things are clear: there are far more losers than winners in the market. The ways to lose, especially as active traders, are much easier to find than the ways to win. One
There are many things I love about the markets. Yes, I love the idea of getting paid for solving the puzzle or playing the game. I love learning. I even love being proven wrong when it points me to new growing edges and new areas to explore. But maybe most
“Okay, so think about it like this, what if you were a competitive farmer?” It was an early Saturday and I was working with a trader (let’s call him Sam) in a private coaching session. I do my best work as a coach when I’m following my sometimes
Due to a recent uptick of impersonators and scam accounts, I want to clarify a few critical points regarding my communication and services. My contact policy * I will never contact anyone with any special opportunities, investment schemes, or other opportunities not available to the public. I will not reach out
Were you caught off guard last week? Did you expect the market to do something it didn’t do? One of the most reliable, recurring market patterns is the concept that sharp impulse moves followed by a quiet period usually lead to another move in the same direction. Recent action