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I’ve tested market patterns, technical tools, and fundamental factors in thousands of combinations over the years. For me, this work is a quest for both truth and profits—the truth behind how markets really move, and the logical conclusion that someone who understands these truths is better able to
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Here’s a bit of a stream of consciousness post in response to today’s (5/13) market movements. First, these types of moves are often called ‘risk off’ moves because we see nearly one-sided trading in different assets—people rush to sell assets that are perceived as risky (stocks
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A few days ago, I published a series of charts on Twitter throughout the day. (You should already be following me on Twitter!) These were intended to be quick-hit, one-off lessons contained in a single chart, and I thought it might be useful to republish them here so you can
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Just a quick end-of-week update on the Options Course. We had the first session two weeks ago (replayhere) in which I introduced the basics of options and outlined the course. I’ll be doing the second module live this Sunday late morning (New York time). You can register to attend
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One of the very positive advances over the past decade is the amount of attention focused on cognitive biases. We are, through the work of some gifted authors and speakers, becoming aware of how easily our brains misfire and cause us to make mistakes. The list of cognitive biases is
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So, it's January 14th and I'm writing my first blog of the year. There's an important lesson here: habit, momentum, and daily rhythm are important. I have come to believe the power of habit is one of the most-neglected truths of the human experience.
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Traders often say "I don't predict anything; I just follow my system." I've always found this a little bit curious because when you trade you are making a prediction, based on a few assumptions. (Even for those marketers who try to insulate themselves from
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I thought it might be useful to take a few moments to look at the technical situation in US stock indexes. Though this is important work, we are only going to scratch the surface. I'll end this post with a quick look at other things you might want
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This is the last in a series of blogs looking at December seasonality in stocks. To quickly recap, the first post used a simple binary (up/down) classification to look at all months of the year in graphical format. (Lesson: yes/no classifications are useful and so are data visualizations.
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This is the first in a short series of blogs in which we will look at the so-called Santa Claus rally in stocks and find some answers to the question "is there a tendency for stocks to rally into the end of the year?" This is not a