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Institutional Managers/Traders
Video blog: What's happening with the yield curve and why do we care?
Here's a look at history and the stats behind the fluctuations in the US Treasury Yield Curve.
General Comments
Here's a little gift: some quant stock screens for tomorrow
Given the complicated setup in the market tomorrow... and potential catalyst of post-FOMC volatility, I wanted to take a few minutes to share some stock screens. Keep in mind that these are "second-level" scans, meaning that you will need to do work to go through them and find
Psychology
Are you out of sync with the market? Here's what you can do about it...
I’ve had many discussions with traders in the last week in which I see a common theme: many people are very frustrated with this market. Many people feel very much out of sync with the swings, and I heard from more than one person “it’s like I’m
Technical Patterns
Are You Paying Attention? I Hope Not...
The first time you hear someone tell you to ignore something happening in the market, it might be surprising. Ignore it? I thought we were supposed to be trying to figure everything out! Why would we consciously ignore something? If we're trying to be responsible, educated traders, why
Trader Development
Trading Lessons from Knife Sharpening
A few nights ago I decided to sharpen my knives. As many of my readers know, I spent some time in a professional kitchen, and there was a time when I did this knife sharpening routine several times a week, and often every day. But now I cook casually at
Psychology
Thinking about Thinking: Probability and Psychology in the Markets
This is a followup to my recent blog post on strings of losses in trading systems. I ended that blog with a promise to consider how the probabilities affected our behavior, and I’ve been swamped with requests to write this post! This is a good topic, and one that
Market Math
Probability and Strings of Losses
I received a question from a reader, David: Hey help me out please. I was reading a good blog by a smart math guy and he said that your next trade is always 50% chance of win. No matter what your overall win ratio is the next trade is always
The Course
The Completely New and Revised Trading Course is Nearing Completion
For some of my readers, you already know what I’m going to tell you today. But I’ve learned recently, in talking to many developing traders, that a lot of people aren’t fully aware of the trading course and what it offers. I want to take a few
Volatility
A few lessons on risk in short volatility strategies
There are so many “teachable moments” in recent market action, it’s hard to decide where to start. I think one of the clearest lessons comes from the recent implosion of short volatility products such as XIV and SVXY—good lessons here on volatility and on risk in general. What
Failure Test
ChartSchool: What exactly do we mean by context? And a long trade in CCE.
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Chart of the Day
ChartSchool Video: a flag failure in UPS
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