Intraday Trading
This is part 2 of a two part blog. Read the first part here. Quick summary: to test the validity of price levels in markets, we created a test in which we showed a bunch (1,535) of traders 20 panels of charts. Each panel included two charts which were
Intraday Trading
In my last post, I looked at intraday activity in stock indexes; I had a few requests to repeat the same work, showing time of day influences--intraday volume (tick volume) and trend strength--for a handful of major currencies. I'll just present the charts here without much commentary, as
Pullback
Markets move in alternating waves of with-trend strength (or weakness) interspersed with moves against the trend. We call these moves pullbacks or consolidations, and they create some of the most powerful and most useful trading patterns we have. (I've written about them here and here.) Many of the
Trading tools
Is a market trending or not? Even this simple question, which is at the heart of most of our thinking about markets, is not easy to answer. Definitions of trend are often subjective, depend on both timeframe (e.g., daily or intraday) and reference period (i.e., how far are
Climax
The US Dollar is in a trend of historic proportions; the strength and rapidity of its advance has shocked many other currencies as they scramble to adapt to the new US Dollar. This creates an environment with considerable risks, but also brings some opportunity for traders who understand how currencies
Pullback
We spend a lot of time, as traders, developing skills of precision trading: when to enter trades, where to put stops, when to add, when to take partial profits, when to get out and reenter. Most of the writing about trading, especially from technical or tactical perspectives, focuses on finding
Climax
Continuing from yesterday's post, I wanted to dig a little bit deeper into the idea of what happens when markets go too far, too fast and snap back. This concept is called overbought/oversold in the traditional technical literature, and it is one of the most important elements
Pullback
I'm starting a short series of posts here on pattern recognition, focusing on simple patterns that I have found useful in actual trading. Some of my readers may have questions as to whether it is possible to trade profitably based on simple patterns, given that so much modern
Pullback
I've written quite a bit lately on things that don't work, and tried to point out some errors in common practical technical analysis. Yes, I'll do more of that in the future (I suppose perhaps because I am a curmudgeonly soul (and, really, how
Market Math
I'm always doing research. Sometimes these are large, multi-month projects, but other times they are just a quick look to see "what the data says", and I share some of those results with you here. However, most research does not yield results--when we dig for treasure,
General Comments
Continuing from yesterday's post, I thought it might be interesting to review some trade setups I posted here this month (here and here, but also this post on the euro is also relevant). The video blog is about thirteen minutes long, but the point is not to review
Chart of the Day
Here are a few trading ideas. Some may be immediately executable; some may need to go on a watchlist. In most cases, these are consolidation plays and could be entered on short term breakouts (e.g., breakout of previous day's high, if looking to buy). There's